For reasons similar to those given by Tim Dunlop, Jason Soon and John Quiggin, I’ll be voting Labor in the election today. Not that it makes a difference, since I live in Kingsford Smith, a safe Labor seat.

I hope that I’m wrong, but I don’t think that Labor will manage to win the election. I expect that there will be a small swing against the government, but that their vote will hold up in the marginal seats where the government has been raining money down, and they will hold onto to enough seats to stay in power.

Update: Howard has been returned, as I expected. There was even a small swing to the government, which I didn’t expect. This is bad news for Australian gun owners.